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Successful Investment Management 101:
Portfolio Rebalancing and Proper Asset Allocation
Rebalancing your portfolio will save your neck…and your
heart! “Rebalancing” is clearly one of the most
misunderstood concepts for individual investors but
should be one of the most widely followed by every
single individual investor. After all, institutional
investors have been doing it religiously forever and
wouldn’t think of ignoring it. This could be why
institutions routinely outperform individuals year after
year.
Rebalancing is simply the process of realigning the
weightings of one's portfolio of assets. For example, if
your portfolio's proportion of stock has grown too large
for your intended assets weightings and risk tolerance,
you might rebalance by selling some stock and putting it
into cash or bonds. Sometimes, all it takes is a
periodic rebalancing of your portfolio, back to your
desired mix of stocks and fixed-income investments, to
smooth out the bumps.
Making these adjustments can make all the difference
between complete financial success and dismal failure. A
study by Brinson, Singer and Beebower determined that
the proper asset allocation, the selection of which
specific asset classes to invest in and how much,
accounted for 91.5% of the success of a portfolio! All
other factors, such as market timing, security selection
and other factors account for only 8.5%. This is very
surprising to most individual investors.
The proper asset allocation depends on not only your
financial, but your life’s goals and dreams. When to
retire, how much you’ll need, paying for college
tuition, getting that sail boat etc, all affects how
much risk is needed to take in order to achieve these
objectives. If you’re younger with a higher risk
tolerance, you’d allocate more to stocks perhaps to more
aggressive sectors. As you get closer to retirement, you
can not afford the huge gyrations, so you might lessen
the aggressive stock holdings.
For instance, over the last half-century, the worst
one-year stretch for a portfolio of 60 percent stocks,
30 percent bonds and 10 percent cash was a loss of 24.1
percent. That occurred in the 12 months that ended in
September 1974. By comparison, the worst one-year loss
for a more conservative mix – 40 percent stocks, 40
percent bonds and 20 percent cash – was just 15.5
percent during the same period. Yet to achieve this
lower risk, the switch in asset allocation strategy
would have reduced your average annual returns to 8.3
percent from 9.2 percent.
For some investors, that may be too significant a loss
of potential returns to consider. So does tactical
rebalancing work, rather than permanently reducing your
exposure to stocks for the long run? The answer turns
out to be yes! Say you started investing at the end of
1984, in a portfolio consisting of 60 percent stocks, 30
percent bonds and 10 percent cash, and never rebalanced
this portfolio back to that 60-30-10 ratio. Instead, you
did what a surprisingly large percentage of individual
investors do: you let the market take your investments
for a ride.
Keith W. Springer is Registered Investment Advisor and
President of Capital Financial Advisory Services,
providing Wealth Management and Mortgage Consulting
Services. For more information on how to build and
maintain a solid retirement plan, please contact Keith
Springer at 916-925-8900 or
keith@capfas.com
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